»Fair: If the equation is correctly specified, then the chances that Bush loses are very small. NYT: But the country hasn't been this polarized since the 60's, and voters seem genuinely engaged by social issues like gay marriage and the overall question of a more just society. Fair: We throw all those into what we call the error term. In the past, all that stuff that you think should count averages about 2.5 percent, and that is pretty small«

Interview im NYT Magazine mit Ray C. Fair, dessen Rechnungen einen Wahlsieg von Bush mit 57,5 Prozent vorhersagen.